Friday, October 29, 2010

Week 8 Key NFL Trends - Will the ghosts of the trends past come out?


AT FIRST GLANCE there are games that always look Tasty ATS in many publications as a Bullet trend only to trap upon further review. Since 2006, The Director has cleared the way for you to understand which team has the real ADVANTAGE against the Trend.

Am the only one surprised that there has not there has not been more written about Halloween trends as we ready for Sunday?

If there was ever an interesting matchup, it is in Detroit where the DETROIT LIONS, 1-5 ATS with a +3 to -3 spread over the last three years, chipped away over the last three years from a 31 losing deficit to a 6 points margin over victory in 2009. The real difference in this one between the two leaders against the spread ('ATS') in 2010 may be the recent bye week the Lions; however Schwartz did break a 2-0 run ATS off the bye with his 2009 loss to St. Louis. One thing is for sure, with both of these teams maintaining a 1 point differential per game with their opponents, this one will come down to the wire.


DON'T BELIEVE THE HYPE



FIRST LOOK




If you wondering why the SAN DIEGO CHARGERS,4-2 ATS as a Home Favorites of 3.5 - 7 points over the last three years, are favored on Sunday, one just needs to look to last year when the Tennessee Titans, themselves 4-1 ATS as 3.5 - 7 point Road Underdosgs, become the 10th straight SU win of their season. While the fortunes of these two teams have definitely gone in different directions, Norv Turner enters 3-0 ATS in their matchups with the Titans since his return to San Diego; his lowest margin of victory being 6 points in 2007. This may just be the last chance for the high flying offense of the Chargers, and Rivers, 97.8 rating, averaging over 422 offensive yards per game to take flight. The challenge is how do you compete with a Titans team that while allowing over 230 passing yards per game is powering a +5 turnover margin? The key will be the Chargers defense, who in allowing only 240+ yards per game to their opponents has stopped Collins before, and will do so again.
ADVANTAGE CHARGERS

KING TRENDS




THE DIRECTOR
© M.O. Productions 10.29.10
updated 10.29.10

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