Week 9 Key NFL Trends

AT FIRST GLANCE there are games that always look Tasty ATS in many publications as a Bullet trend only to trap upon further review. Since 2006, The Director has cleared the way for you to understand which team has the real ADVANTAGE against the Trend.

As the days shorten, we enter into Week 9, and find the Baltimore Ravens upsetting the AFC North with their big victory over Denver last week. The question is can they take this matchup back after being beaten in Week 5? Having swept in 2007, the Bengals will look to do so again in 2009. The challenge for the Ravens, 0-2 ATS as Road Favorites of 3 or less points, and 5-7 ATS revenging a loss over the last three years will be facing off against the CINCINNATI BENGALS, who are allowing 88 rushing yards per game in their last four games, and are not only 3-1 ATS as Home Underdogs of 3 or less points, but also 3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS versus Divisional opponents in 2009.

DON'T BELIEVE THE HYPE



FIRST LOOK

If only the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS, who are allowing less than 275 yards per game in their last four games, were away this weekend. If there is one team that challenges Manning, it is the Houston Texans, whose only weakness seems to be their 1-4 record ATS in domes; 1-1 ATS as 7.5 to 10.5 Underdogs over the last three years. Having broken his 0-2 streak ATS in Indianapolis in 2008 as 8 point Underdogs, Gary Kubiak is one of the few coaches to tout a 3-1 record ATS versus the Colts in their last four matchups. What is particularly interesting here is that the Texans, who are the only team that is averaging more passing yards per game in their last four games than the Colts at 314 passing yards per game, are 3-1 ATS on the Road in 2009; a powerful improvement to their 9-11 record ATS over the last three seasons. On the other hand, the Colts, who are 4-0 SU, and 3-1 ATS as Home Favorites of 7.5 to 10 points over the last three years are an amazing 18-2 SU, but only 9-10 ATS as Favorites over the last three years.
ADVANTAGE TEXANS

KING TRENDS

So we are here again in Philadelphia to see if McNabb, 103.2 rating, can win the big game, and earn the NFC East title it is here. Outscoring their last 4 opponents by 12 points per game, on +11 takeaways, the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES will see if their defense can halt a Dallas offense averaging nearly 400 yards per game in their last 4 games. What is in the Eagles favor is their 44-6 victory against the Cowboys here in 2008 as well as their overall 5-1 record ATS versus the Cowboys over the last three years; the Eagles outscoring the Cowboys by average of over 25 points per game in their two SU victories over the last three years.
ADVANTAGE EAGLES

THE DIRECTOR
© M.O. Productions 11.3.09
updated 11.6.09