Tuesday, November 1, 2011

Stat Fox Trending: NFL Power of the Bye (Nov. 6)

Courtesy StatFox.com

We continue our series of studying teams’ performances in and out of the bye week. What you’ll see here should open your eyes. Hopefully it will expand your bankroll as well, as all of these powerful ATS or Over-Under trends boast winning percentages of at least 65 percent or at most 35 percent.
NEW YORK JETS (4-3) at BUFFALO BILLS (5-2)

NEW YORK JETS are 7-2 ATS in their last nine post-bye week games, and all but two of the Jets’ last 15 post-bye week games have gone UNDER the total. Last year’s matchup between the Jets and Packers went against the sides trend, but the total came in way under the 41½ number in Green Bay’s 9-0 road victory. It was the lowest-scoring contest involving Gang Green since the Jets’ 6-0 win over Pittsburgh on December 14, 2003.
Play On: NEW YORK ATS & UNDER THE TOTAL

ATLANTA FALCONS (4-3 at INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (0-8)

UNDER the total is 10-2 in Atlanta’s last 12 games after the team’s bye, although the Falcons’ post-bye week game last year did go over the 44½-point total in the team’s 27-21 win over Tampa Bay.
Play On: UNDER THE TOTAL

CHICAGO BEARS (4-3) at PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (3-4)

CHICAGO is 2-6-1 in its past nine games after a bye. The one push among those contests came last year in Toronto, when as a three-point favorite, the Bears beat the Bills 22-19. It wasn’t exactly an impressive performance, as Chicago trailed 19-14 before Earl Bennett’s touchdown reception with 6:45 left in the fourth quarter. A two-point conversion pass to Matt Forte finished the scoring and allowed Chicago to match the point spread.
Play On: PHILADELPHIA ATS

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