Courtesy StatFox.com
We continue our series of studying teams’ performances in and out of the bye week. What you’ll see here should open your eyes. Hopefully it will expand your bankroll as well, as all of these powerful ATS or Over-Under trends boast winning percentages of at least 65 percent or at most 35 percent.
MINNESOTA VIKINGS (1-6) at CAROLINA PANTHERS (2-5)
UNDERDOGS have covered all but one of the past 14 Carolina pre-bye week games. That includes last season, when the favored Panthers lost 23-6 at home to the Bears. It’s kind of hard to believe that the lowly Panthers could’ve been favored over a team that would go on to host a conference championship game, but the Bears sent Todd Collins out under center with Jay Cutler having suffered a concussion. Chicago instead rode its ground game to victory, racking up 218 rushing yards, the most the Bears had since their 223 against Phoenix on Oct. 28, 1990.
Play On: MINNESOTA ATS
DETROIT LIONS (5-2) at DENVER BRONCOS (2-4)
DETROIT is once again tabbed as a road favorite when the Lions try to break a seven-game pre-bye week losing streak. Detroit had failed to cover the spread in six straight pre-bye contests before Jason Hanson booted a 50-yard field goal with less than three minutes to play in what ended up being a 28-20 loss last season to the Giants, who were a 10-point favorite.
Play On: DENVER SU & ATS
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (5-1) at PITTSBURGH STEELERS (5-2)
ROAD TEAMS are 10-1-1 ATS in New England’s last 12 post-bye week games. That number looked as if it was going to go to 11-1 last season when the Ravens took a 10-point fourth quarter lead over the Patriots in Foxboro the week after New England’s bye. But the Pats, who were a 3-point favorite, battled back to tie the score 20-20 on Stephen Gostkowski’s 24-yard field goal with 1:51 left in the fourth quarter, then won the game with just 1:56 remaining in overtime.
Play On: NEW ENGLAND ATS
CINCINNATI BENGALS (4-2) at SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (2-4)
HOME TEAMS boast a 12-2 ATS record in Cincinnati’s last 14 post-bye week games. The Bengals looked as if they were going to buck that trend last season when they scored 22 unanswered third-quarter points against the favored Falcons in Atlanta to take a lead going into the final quarter. The home team would once again prevail, however, as the 3-point favorites came away with a 39-32 victory.
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