Week 2 Key NFL Trends

AT FIRST GLANCE there are games that always look Tasty ATS in many publications as a Bullet trend only to trap upon further review. Since 2006, The Director has cleared the way for you to understand which team has the real ADVANTAGE against the Trend.

With Week 1 in the books, there is one more week of 'true' Home openers until we are able to settle down for business in 2010. Given the shaking of the schedules, there are only a few trends to anchor this week. If there is one trend that Romeo Crennel would like to crack, it is his Kansas City Chiefs 0-2 run ATS versus the CLEVELAND BROWNS Having guided the Browns to a 41-34 victory over the Chiefs in 2009, the real question is whether there is offense, or just special teams in Kansas City; Cassel going 10 of 22 for 68 yards on MNF. The good news for the Browns' Delhomme is that he only needs 67 passing to top Quinn's efforts in last year's loss.

DON'T BELIEVE THE HYPE

Another one sure to catch eyes is the CINCINNATI BENGALS Home opener with the Baltimore Ravens. The Ravens not having had back-to-back games to start to the season since at least 10 years ago. It is hard to believe that in going 4-2 ATS in its division in 2009 that the two Cincinnati losses ATS came at the hands of the Browns. It would be easy to jump to the conclusion that the victories were due to being double-digit Underdogs. Finishing 4-0 SU in those victories, the Bengals actually entered as only near 6 point Underdogs per game. Marvin Lewis averaging 17 points per game in allowing just 10+ points per game versus the Ravens in their matchups last year; Palmer lighting up the Ravens for one of his best passing days in 2009 with 271 passing yards. The real question is if the tide will swing back to 2008 when the Bengals lost by 31 points at Home. Compounding the Bengals' confidence is that the last time they won a Home opener was a SU/ATS victory versus the Ravens in 2007. The defense holding Flacco to only 190 passing yards per game on 20 completions in 2009 on an average of 80 of yards to Rice.

FIRST LOOK

If you read through the numbers, the New Orleans Saints 3-0 run ATS versus the 49ers rings loud. What is between the lines is that all those victories came before Singletary's reighn. What is more interesting is that since taking over Singletary is 2-0-2 ATS following a loss in 2009. Having gone 6-0 ATS to start 2009 Payton is now stranger to winning back-to-back games to start the season; unfortunately, he also no stranger to losing the road having lost four of their last five on the Road ATS IN 2009; favored by an average of 10 points per game in three of four losses. What nobody is talking about that rings loudest is that Payton is 11-0-1 ATS over the two years as 3-7 point Favorites. Their last loss to Philadelphia in Week 16, 2007.
ADVANTAGE SAINTS

If there was ever one and only hope for the CAROLINA PANTHERS to save their season, it is this week versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, who arrive 1-4 ATS in their last five matchups; 1-2 ATS in their last three in Carolina. This will be the fourth consecutive time that the Panthers enter as 3-3.5 Favorites in their matchups. Having gone 5-0 ATS until last week's injury to Moore versus the Giants, the Panthers enter on a 5-1 run ATS versus the AFC South in 2009; their last loss coming in Week 2 of last year. With Moore managing only 16 completions here last year to start their winning streak to close the season, the Panthers will hope that Stewart can have another big day.
ADVANTAGE PANTHERS

KING TRENDS




THE DIRECTOR
© M.O. Productions 9.15.10
updated 9.18.10